📊 VaR vs Economic Capital — Understanding the Difference
Both Value at Risk (VaR) and Economic Capital (EC) are key tools in Financial Risk Management (FRR), but they serve different purposes in assessing and managing risk.
🔹 Value at Risk (VaR)
Definition:
VaR estimates the maximum expected loss over a specific time horizon, at a given confidence level, under normal market conditions.
Example:
A 99% one-day VaR of ₹10 million means there’s only a 1% chance the firm will lose more than ₹10 million in a day.
Key Features:
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Time horizon: Usually 1 day to 10 days
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Confidence level: Typically 95% or 99%
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Purpose: Market risk measurement and daily risk limit setting
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Usage: Regulatory capital under Basel II/III for trading book
Limitations:
VaR doesn’t capture extreme tail losses beyond the chosen confidence level — hence not always sufficient for capital adequacy.
🔹 Economic Capital (EC)
Definition:
Economic Capital represents the amount of capital a firm needs to remain solvent over a longer horizon (typically 1 year), considering unexpected losses from all risk types — market, credit, operational, and liquidity risks.
Key Features:
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Time horizon: 1 year
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Confidence level: Often 99.9% (tail-focused)
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Purpose: Internal risk appetite, capital planning, and stress testing
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Usage: Economic value-based view, aligning with shareholders’ risk tolerance
Limitations:
Depends on complex internal models and assumptions; difficult to compare across firms.
⚖️ VaR vs EC — At a Glance
| Feature | Value at Risk (VaR) | Economic Capital (EC) |
|---|---|---|
| Objective | Measure potential market loss | Measure required capital for all risks |
| Time Horizon | 1–10 days | 1 year |
| Confidence Level | 95–99% | 99.9% |
| Scope | Mainly Market Risk | Credit, Market, Operational, Liquidity |
| Use Case | Daily risk control, regulatory capital | Internal capital adequacy, ICAAP |
| Output | Loss estimate | Capital buffer |
🧠In FRR / GARP FRM Context
VaR focuses on short-term potential loss, while Economic Capital focuses on long-term solvency and resilience.
Regulators use VaR for capital calculation, but banks use EC to determine how much capital they should hold beyond regulatory minimums — for real economic safety.
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