📊 VaR vs Economic Capital — Understanding the Difference

Both Value at Risk (VaR) and Economic Capital (EC) are key tools in Financial Risk Management (FRR), but they serve different purposes in assessing and managing risk.


🔹 Value at Risk (VaR)

Definition:
VaR estimates the maximum expected loss over a specific time horizon, at a given confidence level, under normal market conditions.

Example:
A 99% one-day VaR of ₹10 million means there’s only a 1% chance the firm will lose more than ₹10 million in a day.

Key Features:

  • Time horizon: Usually 1 day to 10 days

  • Confidence level: Typically 95% or 99%

  • Purpose: Market risk measurement and daily risk limit setting

  • Usage: Regulatory capital under Basel II/III for trading book

Limitations:
VaR doesn’t capture extreme tail losses beyond the chosen confidence level — hence not always sufficient for capital adequacy.


🔹 Economic Capital (EC)

Definition:
Economic Capital represents the amount of capital a firm needs to remain solvent over a longer horizon (typically 1 year), considering unexpected losses from all risk types — market, credit, operational, and liquidity risks.

Key Features:

  • Time horizon: 1 year

  • Confidence level: Often 99.9% (tail-focused)

  • Purpose: Internal risk appetite, capital planning, and stress testing

  • Usage: Economic value-based view, aligning with shareholders’ risk tolerance

Limitations:
Depends on complex internal models and assumptions; difficult to compare across firms.


⚖️ VaR vs EC — At a Glance

FeatureValue at Risk (VaR)Economic Capital (EC)
ObjectiveMeasure potential market lossMeasure required capital for all risks
Time Horizon1–10 days1 year
Confidence Level95–99%99.9%
ScopeMainly Market RiskCredit, Market, Operational, Liquidity
Use CaseDaily risk control, regulatory capitalInternal capital adequacy, ICAAP
OutputLoss estimateCapital buffer

🧭 In FRR / GARP FRM Context

VaR focuses on short-term potential loss, while Economic Capital focuses on long-term solvency and resilience.
Regulators use VaR for capital calculation, but banks use EC to determine how much capital they should hold beyond regulatory minimums — for real economic safety.


#FRR #GARPFRM #RiskManagement #ValueAtRisk #EconomicCapital #MarketRisk #CreditRisk #OperationalRisk #BaselFramework #FRRPrep#financialRisk&Regulation

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